Gorgeous-Tarragon
0x88c8e793d1957930446bfb2719bd9690eb62df5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-343.90
Realised
$-141.63
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 24?
215 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 25?
207 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 24?
199 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?
194 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-51.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
193 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 26?
188 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 20?
164 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 1?
130 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8AM ET
127 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 22?
100 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-27.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 16?$236.11Jul 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 16?$233.04Jul 16, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$2.62Jul 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 7?$2.58Jul 6, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 1?$3.19Jul 1, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 5?$200.00Jun 5, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 5?$198.40Jun 4, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28?$211.80May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28?$0.55May 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28?$209.56May 27, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 20?$201.82May 20, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 20?$199.60May 19, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 12?$189.83May 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 12?$188.12May 12, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMHYPE Up or Down - April 18, 11AM ET$24.57May 12, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 15?$220.67Apr 28, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$1.83Apr 28, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 14?$226.00Apr 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHYPE Up or Down - April 18, 11AM ET$22.60Apr 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 15?$218.68Apr 15, 03:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $83.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.