Fortunate-Folk
0x88ce5c7a02a4e97be4b591e3aab8eaf428de7849
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.62
Total PnL
$-12.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in July?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.20 July 13-19?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 14?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?
11 shares @ 9.1¢·now 4.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in July?$1.04Jul 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19?$1.07Jul 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.20 July 13-19?$1.06Jul 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?$1.04Jul 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 14?$1.05Jul 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?$1.06Jul 13, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$0.00Jul 13, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$0.00Jul 13, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$0.00Jul 13, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$1.07Jul 13, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.06Jul 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?$1.03Jul 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 13-19?$1.07Jul 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 13?$1.06Jul 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 13?$1.06Jul 13, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13?$1.06Jul 13, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on July 13?$1.06Jul 13, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13?$1.05Jul 13, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$1.04Jul 12, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 00:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.