Unimportant-Chauffeur
0x88cee1fe5e14407927029b6cff5ad0fc4613d70e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
88
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-123.05
Realised
$0.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 9?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 8?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
150 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
146 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.24Jun 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$1.04Jun 25, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.07May 21, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.06May 21, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?$1.07May 20, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.05May 20, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.63May 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.04May 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 56°F or higher on March 17?$0.00Mar 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$2.00Mar 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 56°F or higher on March 17?$1.00Mar 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on March 17?$1.00Mar 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$2.00Mar 16, 12:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.49Mar 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.74Mar 10, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$2.00Mar 10, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.