Thirsty-Root
0x88e0ad7c797a16d6916e5461ff6d30b17b63ceee
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-774.90
Realised
$-36.79
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 18?
1061 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.87
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 18?
509 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 17?
412 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.29
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 17?
362 shares @ 75.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-273.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?
339 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-284.40
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 17?
157 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-120.01
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 18?
150 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 18?
73 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.10
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 15?
18 shares @ 60.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.68
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 16?
17 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 19?$0.47Jul 20, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 19?$0.83Jul 20, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on July 19?$14.31Jul 19, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 19?$151.44Jul 19, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or below on July 19?$29.70Jul 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$17.46Jul 19, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$17.46Jul 19, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$17.44Jul 19, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$17.47Jul 19, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$17.49Jul 19, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$8.88Jul 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$17.46Jul 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$16.93Jul 19, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$16.64Jul 19, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$16.56Jul 19, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$16.57Jul 19, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$25.30Jul 19, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$25.35Jul 19, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$16.66Jul 19, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$10.25Jul 19, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $37.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.