Usable-Lycra
0x88e2d75fe3111d0c19a602503a780942661e8b9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-103.80
Realised
$7.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
2476 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 1000 and 1049 times September 1–30?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$27.03Nov 11, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$8.24Oct 22, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$5.00Oct 21, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$5.00Oct 20, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?$14.49Oct 19, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$8.91Oct 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$5.00Oct 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$1.00Oct 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?$10.00Oct 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$5.00Oct 14, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?$5.00Oct 14, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$5.00Oct 11, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$1.00Oct 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$27.20Oct 7, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$10.00Oct 5, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$10.00Oct 3, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$20.00Oct 3, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$29.04Oct 2, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$20.00Oct 2, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$50.00Oct 1, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".