Odd-Music
0x88e36a9a9319a354b8c9d4815b9e2be1b1309b49
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-111.91
Realised
$4.55
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?
570 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on June 2?
184 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
114 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 2?
103 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$6.35Jul 19, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.01Jul 19, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.03Jul 19, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.07Jul 19, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.02Jul 19, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.88Jul 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.25Jul 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.04Jul 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.04Jul 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.43Jul 19, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.12Jul 19, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.03Jul 19, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.10Jul 19, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.04Jul 19, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.45Jul 19, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.01Jul 19, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.42Jul 19, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.03Jul 19, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.04Jul 19, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.03Jul 19, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.