0x88e9bdaabb76f47773ac41066ea603f2439e6fbd
0x88e9bdaabb76f47773ac41066ea603f2439e6fbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.37
Total PnL
$-19.21
Realised
$-0.61
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 18?
6 shares @ 32.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.12
$0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 18?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.25
$-0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 9?
10 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 11?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 11?
7 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 12?
5 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 12?
5 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 13?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 11?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 15?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 17?$4.12Aug 16, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 18?$0.70Aug 16, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 18?$0.95Aug 16, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 18?$1.65Aug 16, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 18?$0.25Aug 16, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 18?$0.39Aug 16, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 15?$0.00Aug 16, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 15?$3.37Aug 16, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 17?$0.27Aug 16, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 17?$1.63Aug 15, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 17?$0.16Aug 15, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 15?$1.26Aug 15, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 15?$4.85Aug 15, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$1.10Aug 14, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13?$4.71Aug 14, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 15?$1.49Aug 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 15?$1.50Aug 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 15?$1.09Aug 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 15?$2.59Aug 13, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 15?$1.29Aug 13, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.