Standard-Silicon
0x88ee7e50f3538c8728b9e1b4c24c94febb24560d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-804.99
Realised
$-119.01
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
NATO article 5 in 2025?
927 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
916 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-37.05
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
740 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-42.45
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
725 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-127.00
- YES
Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?
669 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
650 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
493 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
381 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
163 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$5.00Oct 23, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?$4.39Oct 23, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$7.00Oct 21, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?$5.60Oct 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$1.75Oct 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$9.00Oct 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$8.62Oct 21, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$16.00Oct 21, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$16.00Oct 21, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$6.00Oct 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$6.83Oct 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$8.50Oct 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$7.74Oct 18, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$13.00Oct 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$10.00Oct 16, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$2.00Oct 16, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$5.00Oct 14, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on a NATO member by October 31?$4.00Oct 1, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$4.04Oct 1, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Turkey by December 31?$0.86Oct 1, 00:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 23, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.