Orderly-Octet
0x88f4582e0dc347f81c26800e1e234050feb6f92c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$41.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
14877 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
GPT-5 released in 2024?
1019 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?
735 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?
523 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?
185 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
93 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $0.85Jan 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$106.72Jan 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Dec 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$20.00Dec 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magnus Carlsen apologize to Hans Niemann in 2025?$19.97Dec 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$21.57Dec 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?$16.25Dec 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?$20.00Dec 12, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$20.00Dec 12, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$20.00Dec 12, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$11.08Dec 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$54.84Dec 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$216.23Dec 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$10.00Dec 11, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$23.38Dec 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$45.68Dec 11, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift say "Taylor's Version" on The Late Show on December 10?$0.06Dec 11, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift say "Christmas" on The Late Show on December 10?$0.02Dec 11, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift say "Donald" or "Trump" on The Late Show on December 10?$10.91Dec 11, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift say "Eras" or "Tour" 10+ times on The Late Show on December 10?$49.49Dec 11, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $39.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 13:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".