Crisp-Ligula
0x88f770f4da69211932d7b1d846bb722f4ab6e7ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$18.73
Total PnL
$-591.27
Realised
$-6.04
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- YES
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
910 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.28
$6.37
- YES
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$-4.87
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
912 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.28
$-0.46
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.07
$0.05
- YES
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
7163 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-91.50
- UNDER
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 208.5
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
1497 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-22.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11?
1288 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.07Jun 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.06Jun 13, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.06Jun 13, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.06Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 13, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.04Jun 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.87Jun 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.52Jun 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$3.55Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$3.53Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLMap Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)$1.51Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe$1.58Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.23Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$3.57Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$3.67Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.77Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$3.79Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$3.79Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Scotland (-1.5)$3.89Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$3.90Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.