Superior-Parenthesis
0x88faf2c36594a5301d04f68b358c3d96934b1d5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$7.62
Total PnL
$-752.82
Realised
$-93.62
Win rate
4%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will AL Ahly SC (EGY) win on 2026-08-19?
56 shares @ 44.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$7.62
$-17.38
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.99
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
1204 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-71.54
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
337 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-90.58
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
226 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
158 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-44.18
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?
120 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AL Ahly SC (EGY) win on 2026-08-19?$25.70Aug 15, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$25.00Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$2.09Jul 18, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$15.30Jul 18, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.88Jul 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.12Jul 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$17.40Jul 15, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$4.12Jul 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ assists AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals$5.99Jul 15, 19:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-14?$0.22Jul 14, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$4.16Jul 14, 19:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?$5.22Jul 11, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?$5.22Jul 11, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$15.48Jul 11, 07:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$5.22Jul 10, 22:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
49 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.