0x8902dea315bd2c089d8a2d6dd318be0b2e798893
0x8902dea315bd2c089d8a2d6dd318be0b2e798893
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-814.80
Realised
$-14.30
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?
943 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
681 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-238.46
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
407 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-215.54
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
261 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-148.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$243.11Jun 26, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSenegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score$250.60Jun 26, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets$85.17Jun 26, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets$7.91Jun 26, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$150.42Jun 26, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets$15.82Jun 26, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets$9.70Jun 26, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets$99.97Jun 26, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score$150.42Jun 26, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-26?$202.69Jun 26, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $121.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 22:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.