Phony-Liquid
0x8906a12ced98503853833c066a4db406a50cf15f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 28?
7230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- LAKERS
Warriors vs. Lakers
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Celtics vs. Raptors
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NUGGETS
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- WARRIORS
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 11?$4.04May 16, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 11?$4.00May 10, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?$1.00May 4, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 29?$1.15May 4, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 29?$1.00Apr 28, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 28?$7.23Mar 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.99Mar 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Dec 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 7, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$1.00Dec 7, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-10.5)$1.00Dec 7, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Raptors$1.00Dec 7, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-11.5)$1.89Dec 7, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Grizzlies (-3.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-12.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-11.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Heat (-5.5)$1.82Nov 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Clippers (-2.5)$1.89Nov 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-9.5)$1.92Nov 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nuggets (-8.5)$1.96Nov 30, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 02:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".