Intent-Yahoo
0x8907b5c707e217a4c1f9a18a296f93167180d8e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$209.93
Total PnL
$-16.56
Realised
$4.13
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$159.30
$59.30
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$40.68
$-59.32
- NO
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
10 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 8?
2490 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 8?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 8?
1021 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?
1015 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?
882 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?
749 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10?
688 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $2.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.