High-Discussion
0x890cda9c53e3c7a3e7ae621b99ac611591cadb0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$188.11
Total PnL
$-76.50
Realised
$-1.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
219 shares @ 13.7¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
39 shares @ 63.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$25.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
36 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$24.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.82
$2.82
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$11.54
$1.54
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
175 shares @ 5.7¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.26
$0.26
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-3.5)
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$10.15
$0.15
- YES
Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.59
$-1.41
- YES
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$1.03Jun 20, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-2.5)$5.08Jun 20, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-2.5)$10.16Jun 20, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNetherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$0.81Jun 20, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Japan (-1.5)$5.10Jun 20, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$5.09Jun 20, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$5.11Jun 20, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score$5.06Jun 20, 12:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 19, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$5.08Jun 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$15.25Jun 19, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-4.5)$2.05Jun 19, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-3.5)$10.20Jun 19, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$5.07Jun 19, 05:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$9.80Jun 18, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$5.07Jun 18, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.