Knotty-Seed
0x891e9fbb986c062eff98de400676ecb89a12c1c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-48.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
30000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
16759 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-162.31
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
13436 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-94.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
8139 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-88.99
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
5531 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-43.99
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
5181 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-94.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m?
3400 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
3398 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
3304 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-97.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$96.96Feb 9, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$9.90Feb 3, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$21.10Feb 3, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$13.50Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$17.50Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$52.00Feb 2, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$69.85Feb 1, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.09Feb 1, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Feb 1, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$20.06Feb 1, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$124.05Jan 31, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$89.65Jan 31, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.35Jan 31, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$28.75Jan 31, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$27.75Jan 31, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$25.07Jan 31, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$9.80Jan 31, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.05Jan 31, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 31, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$9.00Jan 31, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".