Married-Filing
0x8928e652db277db0be278bf11af9c4dd08566ca9
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.50
Total PnL
$-2.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$1.71Mar 1, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?$4.95Jan 12, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?$2.30Jan 3, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$1.00Jan 1, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?$1.02Jan 1, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?$1.03Jan 1, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Zelenskyy hug in 2025?$1.10Jan 1, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?$1.23Jan 1, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by December 31?$1.41Jan 1, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$2.02Jan 1, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein client list released in 2025?$2.18Jan 1, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMAndrii Yermak arrested by December 31?$5.07Jan 1, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$5.07Jan 1, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$0.00Jan 1, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$10.16Jan 1, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$5.25Dec 29, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$1.00Dec 27, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?$1.00Dec 27, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?$4.75Dec 27, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?$2.00Dec 27, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.