Amazing-Exhaust-Canoe
0x892b79fdd91001080bf815be14b41ff2ba7159c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$127.51
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?
822 shares @ 12.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.07
$-21.93
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
4709 shares @ 22.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$49.44
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
6682 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-187.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
3443 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
208 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-41.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
207 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-51.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$43.95Jun 26, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$230.51Jun 26, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$57.88Jun 26, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$136.31Jun 26, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$74.05Jun 26, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$59.66Jun 26, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$67.04Jun 26, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$669.02Jun 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$187.84Jun 26, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?$103.51Jun 26, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$1.1KJun 17, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.1KJun 17, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$113.04Jun 17, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$555.40Jun 17, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$105.67Jun 17, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$54.29Jun 17, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$227.27Jun 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$103.92Jun 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$53.00Jun 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$714.02Jun 17, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $230.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.