Improbable-Sleet
0x892bef618e60d8cf54f723b5d86447137e68af50
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$27.29
Total PnL
$-230.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?
13 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$12.97
$0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?
12 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$12.36
$0.36
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.96
$-1.04
- PACKERS
Eagles vs. Packers
428 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-214.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $120,000 on August 4?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
16 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- SINNER
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
7 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?$12.02May 4, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?$12.06May 4, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $130 in April?$5.05May 4, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 10?$16.77May 4, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$27.84May 4, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 10?$16.00Apr 9, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$12.00Apr 9, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?$6.14Apr 9, 13:46 UTC
- REWARD$0.08Apr 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in April?$5.00Apr 2, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?$6.00Apr 2, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$15.00Apr 2, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$18.75Apr 2, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$28.13Apr 2, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$6.00Feb 24, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$21.00Feb 24, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$18.00Feb 24, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffs$2.38Feb 24, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$6.32Feb 24, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEM1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96: Both Teams to Score$7.94Feb 24, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $16.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 09:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 14:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.