0x892c06c637d45ae4624b65372f25a34592a42605
0x892c06c637d45ae4624b65372f25a34592a42605
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
196
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.4K
Realised
$-7.0K
Win rate
1%
168 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 196- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 6PM ET
15150 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 9PM ET
3227 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-834.70
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 10?
1818 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
1500 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-402.62
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1169 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-312.41
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 9PM ET
925 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-250.58
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 9PM ET
900 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-236.17
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
736 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-209.15
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
675 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-179.21
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
600 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-161.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$26.88Aug 19, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$25.12Aug 19, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$25.53Aug 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$26.19Aug 19, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 15?$15.15Aug 16, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 15?$10.02Aug 15, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$58.60Aug 14, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$26.00Aug 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.48Aug 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$16.80Aug 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.25Aug 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.98Aug 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.48Aug 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$6.81Aug 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$9.20Aug 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$4.60Aug 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 168 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
168 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 168 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.