Gummy-Insight
0x892c87ec84f5212a0a77cd3cf14be527eebc46cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
16292 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
9136 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
5009 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-288.49
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?
2596 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?
2162 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1874 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?
1116 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-151.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
809 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$499.74Dec 27, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$1000.00Dec 26, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$288.49Dec 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?$100.00Dec 10, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$50.00Dec 10, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$50.00Dec 10, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$10.00Dec 10, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$150.00Dec 10, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during December press conference?$100.00Dec 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?$151.00Dec 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?$100.00Dec 10, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$443.63Dec 5, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?$100.00Dec 5, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$200.00Dec 5, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $231.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 27, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.