Idealistic-Silo
0x8936214e1dab02e74e5469d76b4c55cfe99cd010
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$184.50
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-78.24
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$127.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
609 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.98
$-4.57
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.50
$3.95
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
8 shares @ 84.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.47
$1.10
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 7.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.79
$-0.71
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.82
$-2.72
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.78
$-3.77
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.78
$-3.77
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.68
$-3.87
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.55
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.06Jun 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.56Jun 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.50Jun 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.88Jun 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.09Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.45Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.32Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.20Jun 13, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.85Jun 13, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.67Jun 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$31.89Jun 13, 14:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.80Jun 11, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.20Jun 11, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.18Jun 11, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$17.21Jun 11, 09:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45.39Jun 10, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.25Jun 10, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.