Self-Assured-Nylon
0x893678ea062c242e8afc66a78f24632f93396c57
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$87.97
Total PnL
$-638.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
77 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$38.46
$-1.54
- ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
27 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$27.01
$7.01
- YES
Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$19.41
$-0.59
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
41 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.09
$-3.91
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
419 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
380 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
222 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the fight be won by submission?
214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?$40.77Jul 23, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$20.39Jul 23, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$20.26Jul 23, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?$75.76Jul 23, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$33.71Jul 23, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?$50.85Jul 23, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$30.16Jul 23, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81.25Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?$397.50Jul 17, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?$253.71Jul 17, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$102.90Jul 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$62.19Jul 16, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$61.74Jul 16, 14:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.22Jul 15, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$158.73Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $56.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 22:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.