Messy-Reservoir
0x8938c7d673f405f4d14d7619ba7cf3cc79b7036d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.72
Realised
$3.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Epstein testimony?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
37 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?
32 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on March 26?
30 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
15 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
15 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
15 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
15 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$1.40Mar 29, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.36Mar 27, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.00Mar 27, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.11Mar 27, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.07Mar 27, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils$1.80Mar 27, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.40Mar 27, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.00Mar 27, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$2.17Mar 27, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.00Mar 27, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.02Mar 27, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Mar 27, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.29Mar 27, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.41Mar 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.42Mar 27, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.20Mar 27, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.84Mar 27, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.08Mar 27, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.38Mar 27, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on March 26?$1.70Mar 26, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".