Careless-Mathematics
0x894241a43dcf710caa1615c903f9fc6dabac4ff3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$200.74
Total PnL
$58.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
73 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$73.00
$27.74
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?
66 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$66.28
$15.91
- YES
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?
52 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$52.25
$31.35
- NO
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?
7 shares @ 66.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$3.88
$-0.73
- YES
Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.79
$1.70
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 7?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.37
$0.22
- YES
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?
1 shares @ 12.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$0.03
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 7?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?
1 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 7?$1.15Jun 7, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 7?$14.00Jun 7, 00:46 UTC
- REWARD$6.25Jun 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$45.26Jun 6, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?$0.10Jun 6, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?$0.11Jun 6, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?$3.80Jun 6, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?$6.84Jun 6, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?$13.68Jun 6, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?$6.84Jun 6, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?$8.36Jun 6, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?$10.64Jun 6, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?$0.28Jun 6, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?$4.62Jun 6, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?$2.95Jun 6, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?$10.61Jun 6, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?$2.00Jun 6, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?$8.29Jun 6, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?$0.14Jun 6, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?$2.10Jun 6, 16:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.