Attached-Finer
0x8944eeb4c073014352cd1600c2c351d6f61841d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.8K
Realised
$49.33
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
45876 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-24.2K
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
26700 shares @ 70.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-18.9K
- NO
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
25000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-13.0K
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
15600 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.3K
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
7964 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
7960 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
4372 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-91.75
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?
4110 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-452.10
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
3840 shares @ 86.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.3K
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
2964 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-390.61
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$64.26Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.29Jul 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$66.36Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.74Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.67Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.56Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$110.07Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$88.32Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$79.88Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$201.85Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$199.45Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$42.46Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.37Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$186.43Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$53.78Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$313.49Jun 19, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.79Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.09Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$389.69Jun 18, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$51.86Jun 18, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $133.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.