Grouchy-Arrangement
0x89464223b00d829ee865e2d73f88297a29591b70
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-866.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next German election?
30000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-122.49
- YES
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
16778 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-58.91
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
7300 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-292.00
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
3261 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-127.61
- YES
Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?
2000 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-94.57
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-8.45
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
1000 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-67.00
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
389 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$98.46Nov 22, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$193.54Nov 22, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMSwiss Indoors Basel: Sebastian Baez vs Reilly Opelka$522.71Oct 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Indoors Basel: Sebastian Baez vs Reilly Opelka$364.02Oct 21, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Indoors Basel: Sebastian Baez vs Reilly Opelka$7.10Oct 21, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?$8.45Feb 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Greens win the second most seats in the next German election?$12.50Feb 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?$24.92Feb 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?$2.69Feb 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Greens win the second most seats in the next German election?$50.00Feb 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Greens win the second most seats in the next German election?$60.00Feb 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$10.00Feb 13, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$20.00Feb 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$20.00Feb 11, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$10.07Feb 11, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$10.00Feb 10, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$8.86Feb 10, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$67.00Jan 30, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$35.00Jan 29, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$10.00Jan 29, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $234.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 19:14 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 22, 16:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".