Useless-Clamp
0x894867c91419fd485cca1f353f32dcf6d9cd28d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$-171.99
Win rate
15%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
137901 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$758.45
$92.30
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6010 shares @ 16.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$751.25
$-243.03
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 20.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$185.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
5826 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.49
$-78.88
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
15025 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$142.74
$-14.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
6775 shares @ 11.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$132.11
$-664.62
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$105.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
1279 shares @ 24.1¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.16
$-273.66
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20840 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.26
$-10.40
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
1000 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.50
$-27.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Aug 18, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.06Aug 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Aug 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Aug 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Aug 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Aug 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Aug 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.06Aug 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.05Aug 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.27Aug 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02Aug 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$31.76Aug 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.03Aug 18, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Aug 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Aug 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.03Aug 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.04Aug 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.22Aug 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.04Aug 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.04Aug 18, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
52 closed markets, 15% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 05:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.