Petty-Haunt
0x89519efc5007f9851a62c552a74f1da094acd12e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$35.72
Total PnL
$0.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.72
$0.02
- NO
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
7 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$7.00
$0.48
- NO
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.00
$0.08
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 7?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$7.00
$0.01
- NO
Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.00
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$7.70Feb 6, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?$6.92Feb 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?$6.98Feb 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$6.52Feb 6, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 7?$6.99Feb 6, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$5.01Feb 6, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.01Feb 6, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jhonny Fernández win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$5.01Feb 6, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.01Feb 6, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.02Feb 6, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.02Feb 6, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$5.03Feb 6, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Felix Gall win the Tour de France 2025?$5.01Sep 6, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?$5.03Sep 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$5.00Sep 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Gall win the Tour de France 2025?$5.00Jul 9, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Jul 9, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Jul 9, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Jul 9, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Jul 9, 01:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $24.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.