Tough-Wave
0x895438cf25e7e826096ee98a67740eef03ddd0ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will JD Vance say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk say "Macrohard" during the August 6 AMA?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
12 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for 10 seconds or more?$0.00Aug 19, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for 10 seconds or more?$3.00Aug 18, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Blackwell" this week?$1.00Aug 18, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$1.00Aug 18, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?$1.00Aug 18, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift say "Trump" or "Kamala" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?$3.00Aug 12, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?$1.00Aug 12, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?$1.00Aug 12, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$1.00Aug 12, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$1.00Aug 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Drone" or "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$5.00Aug 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$1.00Aug 12, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Streaming" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$2.08Aug 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Rotten Tomatoes" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$2.50Aug 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$15.00Aug 12, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$5.00Aug 6, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Interview" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$1.00Aug 6, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Streaming" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$1.00Aug 6, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Rotten Tomatoes" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$1.00Aug 6, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$1.00Aug 6, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.