Experienced-Gyro
0x8955a27b479f191c9780972323392f5851f8c4cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$122.03
Total PnL
$-2.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 10 2026?
50 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$49.90
$0.10
- AVENGERS: DOOMSDAY
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
46 shares @ 96.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 20, 2026$42.71
$-1.81
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $277.50 Week of August 10 2026?
30 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$29.41
$-0.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?$100.00Aug 10, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 9?$200.00Aug 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?$44.59Aug 8, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $277.50 Week of August 10 2026?$29.71Aug 8, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 10 2026?$49.81Aug 8, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?$99.05Aug 8, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 9?$99.81Aug 8, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 9?$99.81Aug 8, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$45.00Aug 1, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$204.24Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$39.99Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 24?$164.00Jul 24, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 24?$163.69Jul 24, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$93.00Jul 24, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$43.78Jul 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$38.87Jul 24, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$100.84Jul 24, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.00Jul 6, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 1?$9.00Jul 1, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1?$12.00Jul 1, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $83.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.