0x89606d26171188f59cd8512ab60fbb475c3b7ffb
0x89606d26171188f59cd8512ab60fbb475c3b7ffb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-498.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on March 25?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on March 23?
395 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-8.29
- YES
Will Trump say "Panama Canal" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?
290 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2025$0.00
$-159.50
- HYDERABAD
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs. Gujarat Titans
210 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-113.40
- YES
Will Tottenham vs. Southampton end in a draw?
135 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-24.30
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 21?
130 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-76.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
80 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2025$0.00
$-31.20
- YES
Will egg prices be greater than $5 for January?
80 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2025$0.00
$-23.20
- YES
Will Juventus vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?
55 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2025$0.00
$-14.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 25?
35 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Panama Canal" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$5.50Apr 8, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Panama Canal" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$154.00Apr 8, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Job" 15+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$159.30Apr 8, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 15+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$45.75Apr 8, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 15+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$134.20Apr 8, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leicester win on 2025-04-07?$180.00Apr 8, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leicester win on 2025-04-07?$156.60Apr 7, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMarch Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?$156.00Apr 7, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarch Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?$156.00Apr 7, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTeam from West wins March Madness?$156.00Apr 7, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarch Madness: Team from the SEC to win?$2.40Apr 7, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTeam from West wins March Madness?$156.00Apr 7, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?$20.00Apr 6, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham vs. Southampton end in a draw?$24.30Apr 6, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?$19.96Apr 6, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSunrisers Hyderabad vs. Gujarat Titans$2.70Apr 6, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSunrisers Hyderabad vs. Gujarat Titans$110.70Apr 6, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLF1: Will Lawson finish ahead of Tsunoda in the Japanese Grand Prix?$263.50Apr 6, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYF1: Will Lawson finish ahead of Tsunoda in the Japanese Grand Prix?$59.50Apr 6, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on April 4?$51.30Apr 4, 13:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $59.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 05:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.