Spirited-Sty
0x896273687d37b8feb6ee88db41650f2dc78a0563
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$15.69
Total PnL
$-19.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$10.53
$0.53
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
14 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- ETH
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on November 6?
6 shares @ 78.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill The Fate Of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17?$5.06Mar 16, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$5.08Mar 16, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$5.06Mar 16, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$0.00Mar 16, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$5.21Mar 16, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$5.75Mar 16, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.44Mar 16, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$16.13Mar 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$10.00Mar 16, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 19, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate Of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17?$5.00Jan 9, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.26Dec 12, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$5.55Dec 12, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$11.22Dec 12, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Dec 12, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 9, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$5.00Dec 9, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$5.00Dec 3, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Nov 26, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Nov 21, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".