Astonishing-Quota
0x8962d3ca9eec85fe43c7a7938ab7365437b5f259
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$95.09
Total PnL
$-21.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12?
95 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$95.09
$0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
2100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?
2045 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
1800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?
1601 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
1601 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
181 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12?$95.01Jun 11, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$95.09Jun 11, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$95.01Jun 7, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?$4.38Jun 7, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?$100.00Jun 7, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?$99.91Jun 2, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$99.90Jun 2, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$99.81May 30, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.20May 30, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?$98.10May 30, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?$98.01May 27, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$98.10May 27, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$98.00May 23, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$98.10May 23, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$98.00May 17, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$98.10May 17, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$98.00May 14, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$1.20May 14, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$96.19May 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$96.00May 11, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $55.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.