Frigid-Brood
0x8969ffcdbe0d9c1e7072f7f4daebb963744d22a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.48
Total PnL
$-45.55
Realised
$0.27
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.70
$-0.40
- YES
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.84
$-0.16
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?
611 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?
444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
109 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.19
- YES
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
89 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- NO
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
54 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$3.10May 28, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$3.08May 28, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$3.53May 28, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.06May 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.06May 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.03May 28, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$8.70May 28, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$1.74May 23, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.74May 23, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.96May 21, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.97May 21, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.29May 19, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.29May 19, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.87May 19, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.87May 19, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.06May 18, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.00May 18, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$4.05May 18, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$2.26May 17, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.26May 17, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".