Quaint-Straw
0x8972ecb480932b4bb09800e849cda70951482283
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$59.74
Total PnL
$-4.39
Realised
$-0.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.60
$-0.70
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.22
$0.02
- NO
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.20
$0.05
- NO
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.13
$0.03
- NO
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.07
$-0.23
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.73
$-0.07
- YES
Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?
10 shares @ 28.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$3.45
$0.60
- YES
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.15
$0.40
- YES
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 63.5¢·now 59.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.96
$-0.21
- NO
Blue tsunami in 2026?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$2.77
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$2.15May 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$2.79May 16, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$1.04May 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?$0.98May 15, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$16.49May 15, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?$1.06May 15, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1.95May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?$1.48May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$4.23May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?$1.43May 15, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$4.23May 15, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$4.18May 15, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$4.23May 15, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$3.69May 15, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$4.23May 15, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$3.69May 15, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$4.23May 15, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?$0.13May 15, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?$1.41May 15, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation?$3.87May 15, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".