Cautious-Forgery
0x8974eb3d2d5b1cbf5775dd174bbf6df51a02bcbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$1.15
Total PnL
$-113.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Fogo launch a token by June 30 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 29-January 4?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $200 January 5-11?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down on January 19?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 19?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 19?
127 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down on January 20?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$1.75Apr 24, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMZama FDV above $800M one day after launch?$2.27Apr 24, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on January 20?$4.95Jan 20, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on January 20?$5.00Jan 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 20?$4.60Jan 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 19?$5.00Jan 19, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on January 19?$5.00Jan 19, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 19?$5.00Jan 19, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 19?$5.00Jan 19, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 18?$1.82Jan 19, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 18?$2.00Jan 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 18?$1.00Jan 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 18?$1.00Jan 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on January 18?$2.00Jan 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 17?$2.00Jan 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 17?$1.00Jan 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on January 17?$1.00Jan 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 17?$1.00Jan 17, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.75Jan 17, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on January 13?$7.14Jan 17, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".