Boring-Might
0x897707aefc2f01dd16854e7add0af10bad811770
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$12.05
Total PnL
$-5.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30?
11 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2024$10.81
$2.81
- NO
US bank failure in March?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?
4 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure in March?$1.00Mar 12, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?$3.00Mar 12, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mbappé sign for Real Madrid?$1.00Mar 12, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May?$3.00Mar 12, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?$1.50Mar 12, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30?$8.00Mar 12, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEM2023 NBA Conference Finals: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics$15.63Nov 23, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill a fourth US bank fail by June 30?$0.00Nov 23, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEM2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors$0.00Nov 23, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS debt ceiling hike by July 1?$31.25Nov 23, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $2.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.