Fixed-Inflation-Rating
0x89781f249715ecd1970d3a84aac359cc14cb7691
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$11.66
Total PnL
$-98.80
Realised
$-0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
40 shares @ 25.3¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.66
$1.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
191 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
89 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
78 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France vs. England end in a draw?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
28 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$10.00Jul 20, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.01Jul 20, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$16.76Jul 20, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.07Jul 20, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$10.41Jul 20, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$11.52Jul 20, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$10.29Jul 20, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$10.41Jul 20, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$10.45Jul 20, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$25.51Jul 20, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$15.43Jul 20, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$21.39Jul 20, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$45.45Jul 19, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina?$5.10Jul 19, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$10.38Jul 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$3.09Jul 18, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$10.59Jul 18, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00Jul 18, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$10.44Jul 18, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.07Jul 18, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.