Loathsome-Bumper
0x897d60631699792a06921bad11eda1729d77af9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.31
Realised
$1.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 20?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 19?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1622 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on January 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 21?
861 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
644 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 19?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 20?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
330 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 21?$5.34Jun 20, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 21?$3.21Jun 20, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 21?$2.14Jun 20, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 20?$2.14Jun 20, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 19?$3.20Jun 19, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 19?$3.20Jun 19, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 19?$9.29Mar 19, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 19?$5.00Mar 19, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 19?$5.00Mar 19, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 19?$3.04Mar 19, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 19?$2.00Mar 18, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 19?$2.00Mar 18, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 19?$5.00Mar 18, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 19?$5.00Mar 18, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 19?$2.00Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 19?$2.00Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 19?$2.00Mar 18, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$10.53Jan 28, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 22?$11.85Jan 28, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.