Bold-Data-Mosque
0x8987b7250da33ad5724b0f15579c80bbfeb8ea60
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$144.64
Total PnL
$-20.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
28 shares @ 39.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.07
$5.07
- NO
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
17 shares @ 64.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$14.07
$3.22
- NO
Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$10.51
$-0.29
- NO
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
22 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$10.14
$-0.65
- NO
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?
17 shares @ 62.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.52
$-1.02
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 57.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.22
$-1.61
- NO
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?
17 shares @ 62.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.91
$-2.63
- NO
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
15 shares @ 55.8¢·now 45.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$6.97
$-1.55
- NO
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.44
$1.24
- NO
Union Pacific (UNP) Q2 adjusted operating ratio 60%-61%?
8 shares @ 67.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$6.43
$1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Robert Mitchell win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?$6.00Jul 14, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$5.50Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.51Jul 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?$10.99Jul 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$5.50Jul 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$11.01Jul 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?$5.50Jul 13, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$11.00Jul 13, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?$10.83Jul 13, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDanaher (DHR) Q2 non-GAAP core revenue growth 3%-4.5%?$5.50Jul 12, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?$5.50Jul 12, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?$1.65Jul 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$11.00Jul 12, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?$11.00Jul 12, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?$10.54Jul 12, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnion Pacific (UNP) Q2 adjusted operating ratio 60%-61%?$5.50Jul 12, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 13?$5.36Jul 12, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?$5.50Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$11.00Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?$10.54Jul 11, 23:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.