Mild-Warrant
0x8999aaff4d8cff6bb2bcd191ee0a839100d356bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election?
154 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Tom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?
142 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Presidential Election?
129 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?
128 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?
128 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Minnesota Presidential Election?
116 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
116 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?
111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
109 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?
107 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.11Jan 30, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?$0.08Jan 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?$0.04Jan 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.11Nov 7, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?$0.13Nov 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Alabama Presidential Election?$0.10Nov 6, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nebraska Presidential Election?$0.13Nov 6, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?$0.11Nov 5, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?$0.13Nov 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maine be the tipping point state?$0.02Nov 5, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maine be the tipping point state?$0.09Nov 5, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.12Nov 2, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?$0.14Nov 2, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.11Nov 1, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election?$0.15Oct 30, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Minnesota Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 30, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Connecticut US Senate Election?$0.07Oct 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Washington DC Presidential Election?$0.08Oct 28, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Washington Presidential Election?$0.07Oct 28, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?$0.05Oct 28, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $75.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".