Hairy-Seep
0x899cae25fa443863c300a8d567343b45771a7465
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 19?
167 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 11?
117 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5PM ET
102 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 14?
97 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11?
89 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 16?
89 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 27?
81 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 6?
78 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 6?
67 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 11?
59 shares @ 94.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-55.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$113.16Jul 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$110.44Jul 16, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 11?$1.51Jul 10, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 26?$125.17May 29, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 26?$0.72May 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 26?$123.32May 25, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 19?$1.25May 19, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMGrok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?$32.57May 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 14?$1.87May 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11?$2.65May 10, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 31?$113.49May 10, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 25?$0.00Apr 27, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin ETF Flows on April 17?$3.94Apr 17, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 22?$0.00Apr 17, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 16?$1.43Apr 16, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 28?$0.00Apr 10, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?$31.07Apr 1, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 2 above $7.00?$0.00Apr 1, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 31?$111.67Mar 30, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or higher on February 6?$0.00Mar 30, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $28.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.