Optimistic-Leek
0x89a1f9c1e84cf2e99eba2f38737e2c5c110e89d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-990.51
Realised
$550.78
Win rate
83%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
647 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-640.81
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
222 shares @ 89.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-199.58
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
172 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-51.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
90 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-36.24
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
88 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.35Feb 23, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.35Feb 23, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.27Feb 23, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.29Feb 23, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.67Feb 23, 02:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.25Feb 23, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.00Feb 22, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.00Feb 22, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.43Feb 22, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$20.00Feb 22, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.90Feb 22, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.00Feb 22, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.55Feb 22, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.00Feb 22, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$188.29Feb 22, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$184.54Feb 22, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$5.15Feb 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$5.00Feb 22, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$184.43Feb 22, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $19.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 03:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.