Great-Cultivator
0x89a8f306e86d9eab26a34a0b35d29d82a9ac2b17
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$357.28
Total PnL
$-47.71
Realised
$3.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
177 shares @ 85.9¢·now 72.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$127.72
$-24.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?
109 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$109.15
$1.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?
105 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$104.82
$1.95
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 13?
10 shares @ 86.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$9.00
$0.35
- YES
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$6.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?
100 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 7?
27 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 13?$8.70Jul 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?$9.84Jul 12, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?$7.03Jul 12, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?$107.64Jul 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?$61.50Jul 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?$24.60Jul 12, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 11?$100.00Jul 11, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?$126.45Jul 11, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?$65.84Jul 11, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?$45.26Jul 11, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?$9.33Jul 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?$12.04Jul 11, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 11?$96.57Jul 11, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?$16.11Jul 11, 13:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 10?$100.00Jul 10, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 10?$55.00Jul 10, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?$100.36Jul 10, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 10?$29.71Jul 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 10?$97.12Jul 10, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $43.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.