Shy-Crude
0x89ad2cd2611f7e10ff4942868741c3fc71acd1f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 3?
14251 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 1?
222 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 30?
196 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on March 30?
166 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on March 30?
127 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 30?
111 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 30?
100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 2?
92 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 2?
36 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.63
- NO
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?
7 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on April 4?$24.39Jun 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 3?$5.00Apr 3, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 3?$5.00Apr 3, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 3?$5.00Apr 3, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 2?$10.00Apr 2, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 2?$5.00Apr 2, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 2?$5.00Apr 2, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on April 2?$2.86Mar 31, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?$0.50Mar 31, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?$1.94Mar 31, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or below on April 2?$2.68Mar 31, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?$1.81Mar 31, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?$0.86Mar 31, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on April 4?$0.16Mar 31, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 39°F or below on April 3?$0.03Mar 31, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have between 35-40mm of precipitation in March?$36.75Mar 31, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31?$52.50Mar 31, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have between 35-40mm of precipitation in March?$7.70Mar 31, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have between 35-40mm of precipitation in March?$6.89Mar 31, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in March?$0.13Mar 31, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.