0x89b4e4844612efdf5f1dd795fa79d6007f9b181c
0x89b4e4844612efdf5f1dd795fa79d6007f9b181c
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.1K
Realised
$-343.33
Win rate
9%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
4210 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
4000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
2480 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
1673 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
1447 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-610.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
1366 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
1346 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
1269 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1181 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$4.19Jul 22, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$5.31Jul 22, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$5.39Jul 22, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$10.89Jul 22, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$10.20Jul 22, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$13.70Jul 22, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$10.29Jul 22, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$10.46Jul 22, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$42.14Jul 22, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$53.01Jul 22, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$10.79Jul 22, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$53.34Jul 22, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$54.18Jul 22, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$20.45Jul 22, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$235.00Jul 22, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$105.02Jul 22, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$247.78Jul 22, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$106.84Jul 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$132.71Jul 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$102.89Jul 22, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $67.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.