0x89b98d3381349123ae24b9003389a0f2c4b488f0
0x89b98d3381349123ae24b9003389a0f2c4b488f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.02
Total PnL
$-42.26
Realised
$-2.28
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on July 30?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5AM ET
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.01Aug 22, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5AM ET$5.26Aug 3, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$5.25Aug 1, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$10.17Jul 31, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$6.23Jul 31, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$5.18Jul 31, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 31?$10.60Jul 31, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5.36Jul 31, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 31?$18.71Jul 31, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 31?$10.57Jul 31, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.33Jul 30, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on July 30?$5.28Jul 30, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 29?$8.03Jul 29, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 29?$5.24Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $7.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.