0x89bbcd9aa7b5cd52e9fbbc8690dc44b181bf464a
0x89bbcd9aa7b5cd52e9fbbc8690dc44b181bf464a
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.57
Realised
$-1.05
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 3?
3373 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-17.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 20?
138 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 20?$0.00Jul 10, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?$0.00Jul 10, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?$0.00Jul 10, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?$0.00Jul 10, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 20?$0.00Jul 10, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?$0.00Jul 4, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 20?$0.00Jul 4, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?$0.00Jul 4, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 3?$0.00Jul 4, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?$0.00Jul 4, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?$3.65Jul 3, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?$4.71Jul 3, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 3?$17.89Jul 3, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?$5.11Jul 2, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?$5.00Jul 2, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?$4.72Jul 2, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?$4.24Jul 2, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?$3.11Jul 1, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?$5.06Jun 25, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?$4.57Jun 24, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.