Crafty-Experience
0x89bf3209ed8172d7018b3f91499e3889bfbe2c05
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.13
Realised
$-5.34
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
1058 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?
902 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.43
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
174 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
151 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.68
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
107 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.99
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
90 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$2.57Jul 29, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?$2.57Jul 14, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?$8.15Jul 10, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$8.15Jul 10, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$7.64Jul 9, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by July 15?$2.00Jul 9, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$9.28Jul 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$10.00Jul 9, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanov$10.36Jul 8, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanov$7.77Jul 8, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$7.76Jul 5, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$2.25Jul 1, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$2.25Jul 1, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$2.38Jul 1, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.00Jun 27, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$3.22Jun 24, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$6.00Jun 22, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.00Jun 22, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$2.00Jun 22, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke in 2025?$9.16Jun 22, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".